With the first signs of decelerating inflation in the United States, countries in Latin America and the Caribbean are probably asking themselves when borrowing costs will fall again. Lower inflation rates in the US, after all, could allow the Federal Reserve to end its cycle of rising interest rates sooner than expected and start eventually reducing the Fed Funds Rate (its … [Read more...] about US Interest Rates and the Cost of Borrowing for Emerging Economies
Macroeconomics and Finance
Implications of a New Global Financial Landscape for the Southern Cone
Global financial markets are at a crossroads, subject to increased short-term uncertainty as well as structural shifts, both of which pose risks to the macroeconomic and development outlook of emerging economies. To start with, central banks around the world are aggressively tightening monetary policy to fight inflation. This has complex ramifications for exchange rate … [Read more...] about Implications of a New Global Financial Landscape for the Southern Cone
Foreign Investment Drops and Concerns Rise in Latin America and the Caribbean
As the COVID-19 pandemic faded in 2021, markets expressed optimism in the worldwide economic outlook and capital flows to emerging markets recovered. It was not to last. The central banks of developed economies are now mopping up the abundant liquidity they had in place since the Great Financial Crisis to fight inflation in their own countries. Geopolitical risks in 2022 have … [Read more...] about Foreign Investment Drops and Concerns Rise in Latin America and the Caribbean
Why Remittances Soared as the Pandemic Raged
Remittances – money sent from migrants working abroad to families in their home countries – are a major source of income for many in Latin American and the Caribbean, representing as much as 20% of the GDP in nations such as El Salvador, Honduras, Haiti, and Jamaica. As occurred after the 2008 global financial crisis, remittances typically dry up in the wake of economic … [Read more...] about Why Remittances Soared as the Pandemic Raged
The Impact of War on External Financing in Latin America and the Caribbean
Since March of 2022, the war between Russia and Ukraine has significantly impacted the global economy, affecting recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and reducing or halting growth in most of the world's regions. By disrupting the supply of agricultural and energy commodities, it has also fuelled inflation, which was already running hot before the war broke out. Latin … [Read more...] about The Impact of War on External Financing in Latin America and the Caribbean