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Macroeconomics and Finance

Fiscal Rules for a Debt-Plagued Region

March 3, 2023 by Martín Ardanaz - Eduardo Cavallo - Alejandro Izquierdo Leave a Comment

With a long history of recurrent and costly debt crises, Latin American governments have long sought to find a way to curb the fiscal deficits that stoke the debt problem. Those efforts gathered steam over the course of the 2000s when numerous governments in the region began adopting fiscal rules, which seek to curb politicians' ability to increase spending under political and … [Read more...] about Fiscal Rules for a Debt-Plagued Region

Carbon Taxes: A Large Impact with Small Negative Economic Effects

February 16, 2023 by Cezar Santos Leave a Comment

As greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reach alarming levels, countries face increasing pressure to adopt more aggressive environmental policies. However, concerns regarding their economic effects and their impacts on different groups of people (distributional effects) can hinder their adoption. Reducing emissions, after all, means reallocating resources away from high-carbon … [Read more...] about Carbon Taxes: A Large Impact with Small Negative Economic Effects

Dealing with Debt

February 2, 2023 by Andrew Powell - Oscar Valencia Leave a Comment

The Rise in Debt Total debt in Latin America and the Caribbean has risen to 5.8 trillion US dollars from under 3 trillion in 2008, or to 117% from around 60% of GDP. Total debt in the five largest economies is around 140% of GDP. While this is lower than in many advanced economies, emerging economies face higher interest rates, greater risks and a larger drag on growth from … [Read more...] about Dealing with Debt

The Universal Factors Behind Inflation in Latin America and the Caribbean

January 21, 2023 by João Ayres - Arturo Galindo - Santiago Novoa - Victoria Nuguer Leave a Comment

With inflation in Latin America and the Caribbean running at its hottest in two decades, the issue of where that inflation comes from and what the region's central banks might do differently has taken on great urgency. Our newly released study arrives at a hugely important conclusion: the overwhelming bulk of inflation in the region today comes not from factors that are … [Read more...] about The Universal Factors Behind Inflation in Latin America and the Caribbean

US Interest Rates and the Cost of Borrowing for Emerging Economies

December 9, 2022 by João Ayres - Marina Perrupato Leave a Comment

With the first signs of decelerating inflation in the United States, countries in Latin America and the Caribbean are probably asking themselves when borrowing costs will fall again. Lower inflation rates in the US, after all, could allow the Federal Reserve to end its cycle of rising interest rates sooner than expected and start eventually reducing the Fed Funds Rate (its … [Read more...] about US Interest Rates and the Cost of Borrowing for Emerging Economies

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The blog of the IDB's Research Department shares ideas that matter on public policy and development in Latin America and the Caribbean.

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