A few weeks ago, I wrote a post for this blog discussing the Imperial College’s COVID-19 model, the model that has had the most significant impact on the public policy response to this virus. The post looked at the consequences—terrifying, for sure—of doing nothing, along with the impact of a series of mitigation and suppression policies on demand for hospitals and on the death … [Read more...] about Coronavirus: The Logic of Serological Testing
The Spread of the Novel Coronavirus outside China
Updated May 21, 2020 On December 31, 2019, China reported to the WHO several cases of pneumonia of unknown origin in Wuhan, Hubei province. A week later, on January 7, officials determined that these cases were caused by a novel coronavirus. The virus spread very rapidly, first within Wuhan and Hubei province, then to the rest of China. By the end of January, China already … [Read more...] about The Spread of the Novel Coronavirus outside China
A Sharing Economy for Mechanical Ventilators
From Wuhan to Italy, one of the most serious problems associated with COVID-19 has been the lack of intensive care units (ICUs), mechanical ventilators, and staff trained to operate them. In both cases (and notwithstanding China’s astonishing expansion of hospital capacity), many of the deaths could have been prevented with more ICUs and more ventilators. In the absence of … [Read more...] about A Sharing Economy for Mechanical Ventilators
How to Save Lives and Keep the Hospital System from Collapsing? A Prescription for Fighting the Coronavirus from the UK.
This week, researchers at Imperial College published an extremely important article. It presents an epidemiological model and evaluates interventions for reducing contact between people to slow the transmission of the novel coronavirus and the disease it causes, COVID-19. The model, applied to the United Kingdom and to the United States, analyzes effects on the number of dead … [Read more...] about How to Save Lives and Keep the Hospital System from Collapsing? A Prescription for Fighting the Coronavirus from the UK.
Ensuring that the Gains from Trade are Inclusive and Sustainable
Thirty years ago, as part of their development strategy, and after many years of protectionism, the countries of Latin America and the Caribbean embarked on a process of ambitious trade liberalization. This was only one of many different reforms made in the framework of the Washington consensus. But it was without question the most important one. Tariffs were eliminated, … [Read more...] about Ensuring that the Gains from Trade are Inclusive and Sustainable