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Powering everything with renewable electricity will be cheaper and cleaner. Can governments accelerate the transition?

October 20, 2022 por Andreas Fazekas - Adrien Vogt-Schilb - Henri Waisman - Alejandra Paris Gallego 1 Comment


Your day in the future. You cook breakfast every morning on an electric induction stove. It is powered, as all appliances in your home, by the solar panels on your roof. To go to work, you take your e-bike or the tram that a wind farm powers outside the city—just another Tuesday with a zero-carbon footprint. And here is the best part: you can afford it. Electricity is so cheap that you are not charged for how much energy you consume. Instead, you pay a small, predictable monthly fee that is not affected by international oil prices or wars. And your lights stay on even during major hurricanes!

Thanks to dramatic drops in the cost of solar, wind, batteries, and, more recently, green hydrogen, this is the future that we may get. A new report by IDB and IDDRI, funded by the French Climate Fund, suggests governments can deliver it – and put an end to the climate crisis in the process. But enabling the transition to carbon-free energy requires identifying the many barriers that prevent a fast and broad deployment of renewable electricity and acting on regulations and incentives to remove them.

Step one: decarbonize electricity. Also, step one: electrify everything. There is no step two.

Getting cheap and clean energy is not a question of technical feasibility. We know the technology, where to apply it, and that it is the cheapest way ever available to humankind to generate energy. Globally, a 100% renewable energy system brings the promise of USD 12 trillion in net savings. The necessary investments can be paid back in less than seven years.

There is no one-size-fits-all solution and local context matters, but in general, there are three basic ingredients:

  • All new electricity generation projects can leverage solar, wind, geothermal, or hydro. In other words, no new coal, oil, or gas power is needed.
  • Governments can organize the phase-out of existing coal, oil, and gas power plants negotiating with owners, workers, and communities that depend on them and ensuring a just transition.
  • Cars, cookstoves, heaters, and other appliances that use fossil fuels can be replaced with more efficient electric alternatives.

The transition to a zero-emission energy system is already happening

Costa Rica and Paraguay show that countries can get more than 99% of their electricity from renewables. Others can follow: Mexico, Chile, and Argentina set global records in terms of wind and solar potential. In remote rural areas, renewable power plants backed by batteries can bring reliable 24/7 electricity for the first time.

As electric vehicles are becoming the new normal – 13% of new cars sold worldwide in 2022 are electric – they are the poster child of what “electrification” means. But using electricity instead of fossil fuels also makes sense for most other energy uses. Cooking can be done on electric or induction stoves. Heat pumps can save money compared to gas to heat houses and even in industries like dying or paper production. Importantly, countries need not wait for electricity to be clean before electrifying energy uses: both processes will take decades and should be started in parallel.

Even if fossil fuels still account for 43% of the energy used in Latin America and the Caribbean, the region is already transitioning. Around 65% of electricity generation in the region is already renewable, and 40GW of renewable electricity generation was added in the region between 2019 and 2021, about 10% of the current capacity. Electrification is also advancing. For instance, Santiago and Bogota have very large electric bus fleets.

Governments can incentivize financing and speed up construction processes

But a lot remains to be done. Policymakers have a crucial role to play in overcoming barriers linked to outdated regulation, lack of infrastructure, complex financing, and information gaps.

One key barrier is red tape. Since renewable energy is cheaper, private companies should be encouraged to hire local engineers and technicians, build solar and wind power plants, reduce electricity prices for families and businesses, and make a profit. But regulations often prevent that from happening. Getting permits to use the land to install wind or solar power can take months, if not years. Obtaining the rights to connect to the grid can be as tricky. Some of the paperwork does not even make sense, as investors are asked to comply with regulations meant to reduce the risk of fossil fuel spills.

Governments can solve these issues. They can, for instance, update land-use regulations, pre-establish renewable electricity generation zones to accelerate approval for new sites, and tailor safety regulations for renewable energy.

Another critical issue is high capital costs. In countries where wind and solar are still new, investors may charge higher risk premiums, jeopardizing the financial viability of projects. Governments can de-risk investments, using public guarantees to decrease the interest rates associated with renewable projects or providing interest-free loans to project developers. Governments can fund these policies using green or sustainability-linked bonds – that often turn out to be cheaper than traditional bonds: everybody wins.

All hands on deck to achieve carbon-free prosperity

Many other barriers prevent the uptake of clean electricity solutions, ranging from intermittency issues, the need to connect windy and sunny areas to consumption centers, or a lack of basic information. For example, did you know that most air conditioners can also provide heat, using two to four times less energy than electric heating?

Although each country is different, the primary path to removing these barriers is clear:

  1. Start from a vision of a prosperous economy based on renewable energy, electric vehicles, and electric appliance.
  2. Identify the obstacles on the road.
  3. Get governments to enable the transition.

Learn more about how governments can enable better energy, transport, buildings, agriculture, industry, and waste management reading our report on 15 transformations toward net-zero prosperity.


Filed Under: Climate change, Non classifié(e) Tagged With: climate change, decarbonization, renewable energy

Andreas Fazekas

Andreas Fazekas is a consultant at the Inter-American Development Bank’s Climate change division. His work focuses on the operationalization of the Paris Climate Agreement, e.g., Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), the design of country Long-Term Strategies for carbon neutrality and the development of Deep Decarbonization Pathways in the region (DDPLAC). Before that, Andreas worked as a management consultant in various industries and countries in Europe and the Middle East, focusing on either banking or renewable energy. He holds a master’s degree in international development and currently pursues a PhD in organizational theory and innovation with respect to climate change.

Adrien Vogt-Schilb

Adrien Vogt-Schilb is a senior climate change economist at the Inter-American Development Bank, in the Chile office. Adrien's work focuses on the design of effective and politically acceptable climate strategies. He develops tools to align climate policies with development goals in all sectors and to manage political economy issues in the transition to net-zero – including labor, social and fiscal impacts. Adrien is a trained engineer, holds a PhD in economics and is the author of 8 books or monographs, and more than 40 academic papers on climate change and development. He posts about his research on his LinkedIn account https://www.linkedin.com/in/adrien-vogt-schilb/

Henri Waisman

Henri Waisman is senior researcher within IDDRI's Climate programme, in charge of ctivities on long-term low emission development trajectories. He is the coordinator of the Deep Decarbonization Pathways Project (DDPP), which is working with international partners to mobilize long-term analysis as a tool to support the political process initiated by the Paris Agreement. He is also in charge of promoting the DDPP's lessons on the use of forward-looking scenarios as a tool for dialogue to support the implementation of the transition to sustainable development. After graduating from the École Normale Supérieure (ENS) of Lyon in physical sciences, Henri joined the CIRED (Centre International de Recherche sur l’Environnement et le Développement) in 2005 where he conducted modeling work for the analysis of socio-economic impacts of energy and climate issues. He holds a doctorate from the Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales (EHESS) in Economics, with a specialization in Environment; his thesis focuses on the links between climate change mitigation policies, international energy markets and urban dynamics. Henri joined Iddri in December 2013. Henri is a member of the Intergovernmental Panel of Experts on Climate Change (IPCC), as Lead Author for the Special Report on 1.5C

Alejandra Paris Gallego

Alejandra currently works as communications consultant at the Climate Change Division of the IDB, where she oversees the strategic communication of the bank's Climate Change Division, giving visibility to the different actions that the IDB carries out to motivate climate action in Latin America and the Caribbean. Over 10 years, she has worked in institutional communication, from the Colombian Embassy in Madrid, to designing and implementing several communication campaigns for the public sector, including clients such as different Directorates-General of the European Commission and ministries in Latin America.

Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. Moryl Sankaran says

    August 13, 2024 at 6:55 am

    This article provides a great vision for a sustainable future where renewable energy is not only cheaper but also cleaner. I appreciate the authors’ emphasis on the need for governments to take action to accelerate the transition to a zero-emission energy system.

    Reply

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