The Effects of Tropical Storms on Early Childhood Development and Labor Market Dynamics

The increase in sea water temperatures and levels will potentially cause worse tropical storms in the future and has become the most important long-term threat to economic development in the Caribbean.

Predictions by the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, a research laboratory at the National Atmospheric and Oceanic Administration, are that the intensity of tropical disturbances will increase between 2 and 11 percent and that the rainfall associated with these events will increase between 10 and 15 percent. These forecasts raise questions about the response of society under extreme circumstances and the adaptation measures they use to cope with associated risks.

We invite you to join our webinar, in which we will present the findings of two working papers: “The effects of Weather Shocks on Early Childhood Development” and “The Effects of Natural Disasters on the Labour Market”: Do Hurricanes Increase Informality?”. IDB specialists in health and labor markets will share their thoughts on the potential policy implications of those results.

This webinar has concluded.

Find below the participants:

Ian Ho-a-Shu is a Senior Health Specialist in the Social Protection and Health division of the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB). Holding this position over the last 19 years, he has been the Team Leader for Health, Early Childhood Development and Conditional Cash Transfer projects in Trinidad and Tobago, Guyana, and Suriname. Prior to the IDB, he was a consultant with Price Waterhouse Coopers providing technical advice on health sector projects in Trinidad and Tobago. He holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Public Administration and Law from the University of the West Indies and a Master’s in Business Administration from Andrews University, Michigan, USA.

Rafael Novella is an economist working at the Labor Markets and Social Security Division at the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB). His work at the IDB consists on designing and evaluating policy interventions related to labour markets and intermediation and skills formation. He is also a Research Associate at the Oxford Department of International Development (ODID\Young Lives); a Visiting Research Fellow at the Department of Economics at Middlesex University; and, an Associate Research Fellow at the Centre on Skills, Knowledge and Organisational Performance (SKOPE) at the University of Oxford. He holds a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Essex.

Author/Moderator:  Camilo Pecha is an economist expert on causal inference and data analysis.  He received his PhD in Applied Economics from Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona and he specializes in environmental economics and applied microeconomics.  His research topics are “the effect of climate change on social welfare and impact evaluation”. He has been leading the research agenda on climate change in the Caribbean Country Department (CCB) for the last two years and he is the scientific focal point for geospatial data generation in CCB.


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